Forecasting the number of Schistosomiasis cases (Snail Fever) in Napu, Central Sulawesi, using the Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Avarege (ARIMA) method / Cici Aisya … [et al.]

Cici Aisya, Cici Aisya and Salma Soleha, Salma Soleha and Salwa Soleha, Salwa Soleha and Muh. Aidil, Muh. Aidil and Fadjryani, Fadjryani (2023) Forecasting the number of Schistosomiasis cases (Snail Fever) in Napu, Central Sulawesi, using the Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Avarege (ARIMA) method / Cici Aisya … [et al.]. In: International Jasin Multimedia & Computer Science Invention and Innovation Exhibition (i-JaMCSIIX 2023). Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences, Kampus Jasin, p. 63. (Submitted)

Abstract

Schistosomiasis is the second deadliest parasitic disease after malaria. In Indonesia, schistosomiasis is caused by the trematode worm Schistosoma japonicum which is endemic in three regions in Central Sulawesi, namely the Lindu Plateau, Napu Plateau and Bada Plateau. A global public health perspective states that schistosomiasis is a water-based disease and is considered a neglected tropical disease, until now schistosomiasis interventions continue to increase. The aim of this study was to forecast the number of schistosomiasis patients in the Napu region of Poso District and provide a scientific contribution to planning for the prevention and control of this disease. The results showed that the forecasting that has been done shows a very worrying trend regarding the number of schistosomiasis cases in the Napu Region. In 2023, the number of cases reached 392. However, a more significant increase occurred in 2024, where the number of cases jumped to 472. Even more concerning, forecasts for 2025 indicate that the number of cases could reach 588. This is a very serious sign and should be a major concern in efforts to prevent and control this disease in the region. The efforts that can be made to eliminate schistosomiasis are as follows: Providing mass treatment, controlling snail population as the vector of schistosomiasis transmission, providing education about the dangers of schistosomiasis, and improving access to clean water.

Metadata

Item Type: Book Section
Creators:
Creators
Email / ID Num.
Cici Aisya, Cici Aisya
aisyahcici41@gmail.com
Salma Soleha, Salma Soleha
salmasoleha88561@gmail.com
Salwa Soleha, Salwa Soleha
salwasoleha3740@gmail.com
Muh. Aidil, Muh. Aidil
aidilmuhamad735@gmail.com
Fadjryani, Fadjryani
olahdata.palu@gmail.com
Contributors:
Contribution
Name
Email / ID Num.
Patron
Md Badarudin, Ismadi
UNSPECIFIED
Advisor
Jasmis, Jamaluddin
UNSPECIFIED
Advisor
Jono, Mohd Hajar Hasrol
UNSPECIFIED
Director
Suhaimi, Nur Suhailayani
UNSPECIFIED
Team Member
Mat Zain, Nurul Hidayah
UNSPECIFIED
Team Member
Abdullah Sani, Anis Shobirin
UNSPECIFIED
Team Member
Halim, Faiqah Hafidzah
UNSPECIFIED
Team Member
Abd Kadir, Siti Aisyah
UNSPECIFIED
Team Member
Jalil, Ummu Mardhiah
UNSPECIFIED
Subjects: T Technology > T Technology (General) > Integer programming
Divisions: Universiti Teknologi MARA, Melaka > Jasin Campus > Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences
Event Title: International Jasin Multimedia & Computer Science Invention and Innovation Exhibition (i-JaMCSIIX 2023)
Event Dates: 8th November 2023
Page Range: p. 63
Keywords: Forecasting; Schistosomiasis; Tropical disease; Schistosoma Japonicum
Date: 2023
URI: https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/94159
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