Assessment of dengue cases in Malaysia using susceptible, infected and recovered (SIR) model / Wan Syakirah Wan Syukri

Wan Syukri, Wan Syakirah (2021) Assessment of dengue cases in Malaysia using susceptible, infected and recovered (SIR) model / Wan Syakirah Wan Syukri. [Research Reports] (Unpublished)

Abstract

Dengue is caused by the dengue virus, and no specific treatment is available. Since dengue cases are rising annually in Malaysia, the number of deaths is also increasing. This is due to a lack of awareness about dengue fever and a lack of cleanliness of the place. This research will therefore establish curve and graph to better foretell dengue accuracy to address this issue. Besides, it will encourage the government, in particular in the health sector, to focus on those states that are critical in the dengue zone. The medical treatment of experienced doctors and nurses would save lives and reduce the rate of mortality. A significant way to analyze the impact of human and vector populations on the spread of the disease would be through a mathematical model. This study developed a SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) disease transmission modelling that includes the vector effect and used standard methods of dynamic modeling to evaluate the results. The states of equilibrium and their stability are analyzed. To evaluate dengue transmission dynamics in a single serotype model by using a vector-to-human compartmental model. Throughout this research study, ordinary differential equation (ODE) systems are used for deterministic model approaches. The approach here is to analyze the underlying dynamic systems, as well as to examine the anticipated effect of future interventions. We find from the study that the overall hospitalization time required to treat the disease is substantially reduced.

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Item Type: Research Reports
Creators:
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Wan Syukri, Wan Syakirah
2019583901
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > Mathematical statistics. Probabilities > Prediction analysis
R Medicine > RC Internal Medicine > Chronic diseases > Dengue
Divisions: Universiti Teknologi MARA, Perlis > Arau Campus > Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences
Keywords: Dengue ; SIR Model ; Aedes ; Mosquito ; Vector-Host ; Malaysia
Date: January 2021
URI: https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/60079
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