Cointegrating and causal relationships between saving and growth: The case of Iran / Nur Fakhzan Marwan …[et al.]

Marwan, Nur Fakhzan and Khalid, Norlin and Ahmad, Mahyudin and Samsudin, Mawarti Ashik and Ab Halim, Roslilee (2012) Cointegrating and causal relationships between saving and growth: The case of Iran / Nur Fakhzan Marwan …[et al.]. In: PROSIDING KONAKA 2012, 5 - 6 November 2012, Gambang Resort, Kuantan, Pahang.
Abstract

This paper examines the long-run causal relationship between saving and economic growth for Iran for the period 1967-2010. Applying the multivariate cointegration techniques and Toda and Yamamoto causality test, it is found that the stability of savings-led growth hypothesis in the long run is not applied for this country. On the other hand, it is found that there is a unidirectional causality running from economic growth to saving for Iran. Evidently, the empirical results cast further doubt on the relevance of the domestic saving used as a target variable for economic development.

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