Population model with heart disease death rate consideration

Heart disease is a non-infectious disease, but it needs to be taken seriously because it takes human lives. In Malaysia, this disease is the number one highest reported disease that kills people who suffered from it. As the number of heart disease death keep increasing, prediction of Malaysia’s population will be determined to examine the population towards affected disease. Malthus theory explained that population will continue expanding until growth is stopped or reversed by disease. Hence, Malthusian growth models are used to forecast Malaysia population growth. The two adjusted Malthusian model with death rate consideration is calculated by two different approaches, using fixed growth rate and fixed death rate, and using unfixed growth rate and unfixed death rate to estimate the number of populations. The Malthusian model and discrete Malthusian model are also used to calculate the estimated population without considering the death rate. The results obtained are compared and analyzed to see the differences and the accuracy. The outcome shows the efficiency of the Malthusian model in estimating the number of populations in Malaysia.