Mohd Nasir, Ida Normaya
(2025)
Detecting early warning signals of recession in Malaysia: a time series analysis perspective.
Bulletin.
Universiti Teknologi MARA, Kedah, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Kedah.
Official URL: https://kedah.uitm.edu.my/research
Abstract
Global economic growth is projected to slow to between 2.2% and 2.6% in 2025, while a 0.3% contraction in global GDP in Q1 2025 has heightened recession concerns (World Economic Forum, 2025). As a small, open economy heavily reliant on international trade, Malaysia requires robust early warning systems to enable policymakers and stakeholders to proactively anticipate and respond to potential external shocks (Bank Negara Malaysia, 2025a).
Metadata
| Item Type: | Monograph (Bulletin) |
|---|---|
| Creators: | Creators Email / ID Num. Mohd Nasir, Ida Normaya normaya@uitm.edu.my |
| Contributors: | Contribution Name Email / ID Num. Editor Anuar, Azyyati azyyati@uitm.edu.my Editor Ahmad Zawawi, Azlyn azlyn@uitm.edu.my |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory. Demography > Business cycles. Economic fluctuations. Economic indicators > Economic forecasting H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions > Malaysia |
| Divisions: | Universiti Teknologi MARA, Kedah > Sg Petani Campus |
| Journal or Publication Title: | Buletin RMU4U |
| ISSN: | 2805-475X |
| Keywords: | Early warning signals of recession, Time series analysis in macroeconomics, Malaysia recession forecasting |
| Date: | 2025 |
| URI: | https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/139690 |
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