Modelling road accidents in Malaysia / Aida Syamilah Mohd Nasir... [et al.]

Mohd Nasir, Aida Syamilah and Husainizam, Haziq Hamizan and Halim, Nurul Sabrina and Ab Malek, Isnewati and Ab Malek, Haslinda (2018) Modelling road accidents in Malaysia / Aida Syamilah Mohd Nasir... [et al.]. ESTEEM Academic Journal, 14. pp. 66-76. ISSN 1675-7939

Official URL: http://uppp.uitm.edu.my

Abstract

Safety and accident issues are considered important problems in the world. Road accident issues would have more conspicuous countenance in Malaysia. Almost every day there will be news about road accident, whether on television, newspapers and internet. Therefore, the aim of this study is to understand the general trend of road accidents in Malaysia, to estimate the best parameters of the Box-Jenkins Model and then to find the best-fitted model for road accidents in Malaysia. A monthly accident data from 2007 to 2016 was obtained form the Malaysia Institude of Road Safety (MIROS). This study applies Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) time series model to study the trend of road accidents in Malaysia. Based on the result obtained, the trend of the number of road accidents in Malaysia are increasing. The finding also showed that by comparing the AIC and BIC value, ARIMA(1,1,1) was identified as the best model. This study contributes to the implementation of road safety in order to reduce the increasing trend of road accidents in Malaysia.

Metadata

Item Type: Article
Creators:
CreatorsID Num. / Email
Mohd Nasir, Aida Syamilahisnewati@ns.uitm.edu.my
Husainizam, Haziq HamizanUNSPECIFIED
Halim, Nurul SabrinaUNSPECIFIED
Ab Malek, IsnewatiUNSPECIFIED
Ab Malek, HaslindaUNSPECIFIED
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > Evolutionary programming (Computer science). Genetic algorithms
Q Science > QA Mathematics > Evolutionary programming (Computer science). Genetic algorithms > Malaysia
Divisions: Universiti Teknologi MARA, Pulau Pinang > Permatang Pauh Campus
Journal or Publication Title: ESTEEM Academic Journal
ISSN: 1675-7939
Volume: 14
Page Range: pp. 66-76
Official URL: http://uppp.uitm.edu.my
Item ID: 28880
Uncontrolled Keywords: road accidents, box-jenkin, ARIMA
URI: http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/28880

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