Long run cointegration between sector-specific indices and macroeconomic fundamentals / Jaafar Pyeman and Ismail Ahmad

Pyeman, Jaafar and Ahmad, Ismail (2007) Long run cointegration between sector-specific indices and macroeconomic fundamentals / Jaafar Pyeman and Ismail Ahmad. Journal of International Business and Entrepreneurship, 13 (1). pp. 69-86. ISSN 0128-7494

Abstract

This paper has analysed the dynamic reactions between sector-specific indices of Bursa Malaysia and macroeconomic variables. This study shows that stock prices and macroeconomic variables tend to evolve as well as elaborate together in the long run. This study has identified various trends of responses among the sector-specific indices towards the innovation in macroeconomic variables. The share prices respond intensively to a shock in GDP in the long run particularly KLSECON, KLSEIND and KLSEFIN. The variances of share prices explained by innovation in GDP remain substantial for more than 20% in the long run for KLSECON and KLSEPROP. INFL has been identified to contribute great shock in KLSEFIN during short run and the share prices shocks for KLSEPROP towards innovation in INFL decrease in the long run. Furthermore, KLSEIND responds intensively to a shock in INFL and the effect has remained substantial in the long run. The innovation in INT has also contributed to great impact on the share prices especially KLSEFIN and KLSEIND during short run, KLSEIND has shown consistent responses to one standard deviation shock in INT for most of the quarters in this study. The results suggest that unanticipated changes in macroeconomic variables lead to similar patterns in some of the sector-specific indices with the effects differing mainly in term of the magnitude as well as the persistent of the responses that occur following the shocks.

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Metadata

Item Type: Article
Creators:
CreatorsID Num.
Pyeman, JaafarUNSPECIFIED
Ahmad, IsmailUNSPECIFIED
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory. Demography > Macroeconomics
H Social Sciences > HG Finance > Investment, capital formation, speculation > Stock exchanges. Insider trading in securities > Malaysia
Divisions: Malaysian Entrepreneurship Development Centre (MEDEC)
Journal or Publication Title: Journal of International Business and Entrepreneurship
ISSN: 0128-7494
Volume: 13
Number: 1
Page Range: pp. 69-86
Item ID: 11439
Uncontrolled Keywords: Bursa Malaysia, sector-specific indices, macroeconomic variables
URI: http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/11439

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